FORECASTING CARGO GROWTH AND REGIONAL ROLE OF THE PORT OF NIGERIA

FORECASTING CARGO GROWTH AND REGIONAL ROLE OF THE PORT OF NIGERIA

ABSTRACT

This study was carried out on forecasting cargo growth and regional role of the port of Nigeria using Apapa Sea Port of Lagos State as case study. To achieve this 4 research questions were formulated.  The survey design was adopted and the simple random sampling techniques were employed in this study. The population size comprise of all the staff of Apapa Port, Lagos State. In determining the sample size, the researcher conveniently selected 67 respondents while 50 were received and validated. Self-constructed and validated questionnaire was used for data collection. The collected and validated questionnaires were analyzed using frequency tables and percentage. While the hypotheses were tested using Chi-square statistical tool. The result of the findings reveals that the Nigerian port authorities plays the following roles; develop, own and operate ports and harbours, provide safe and navigable channels, offer cargo handling and storage services, maintain port facilities and equipment and ensure safety and security. Also there are evident factors impeding cargo growth in Nigeria. Additionally, the findings disclosed that clearance delays, lack of effective strategies, poor management practices, increased freight rates, delay of import/export processes and security concerns are among many others the challenges militating against the effective development of Nigerian sea ports. And forecasting will significant roles in the development of sea ports in Nigeria, among the roles include; it will serve as the bases for effective planning for development, it will facilitate Co-ordination and Control over port activities, it will aid the relevant authorities to predict the future of Nigerian ports, and it will aid the managerial officers to create a progressive direction for the development of ports. In regard to the findings, the study recommends that there is need to strengthen the implementation of policy reforms measures and regulations which has been introduced in the sector. This will help to achieve desired goals in the area of ports operations, terminal management, administration and cargo growth in Nigeria, and the activities of the managerial staff should be monitored to ensure that corrupted practices do not prevail the sector. Also, unqualified staff working with the posts should be trained to step up their competences. While new government policies should be enacted encouraging the establishment of new sea ports and jetties like the Dangote deep seaport project currently ongoing at Lekki – Lagos state outside Apapa area so as to reduce the growing pressures capable of creating road congestions due to increasing import and export of goods.

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